Hormuz Situation Report

Status

Effectively no.

War-risk insurance has priced commercial transit through the Strait of Hormuz beyond the reach of most operators. As of 29 SEP 2026 · 2151Z, that has held for 213 days. Verdict basis: insurance.

Headline metrics

Container carriers

The nine largest container carriers by global TEU. 4 of 9 say they have stopped using the strait; 1 of those has an advisory from the last 60 days, the count our verdict uses.

Bypass pipelines

War-risk insurance

A straits.live estimate from trade-press reporting puts the strait at multiples of normal premium: the quoted rate runs at 40.0× peacetime. Reported VLCC voyage quotes range from ~$250K in peacetime to ~$10.0M at the top of the current band.

Port congestion

Timeline · past 14 days

1. SEP 29

   U.S.-Iran talks continue after Trump rejects Iran’s Strait of Hormuz proposal

2. SEP 29

   163 Indian seafarers on board 12 commercial vessels in Persian Gulf currently , confirms MEA

3. SEP 29

   Iraq imports petrol via Syria's Baniyas port as Hormuz closure bites

4. SEP 29

   Kuwaiti Tanker Struck in the Strait of Hormuz

5. SEP 29

   Iraq begins importing gasoline via Syrian port to bypass the closed Strait of Hormuz

6. SEP 29

   Fog of War Deepens in Hormuz as Ship Attacks Go Unreported for Days

   The maritime picture in the Strait of Hormuz is becoming harder to verify, with another delayed report of a vessel strike raising questions over how much of the fighting is...

7. SEP 29

   Oil Slides As Qatar Touts Talk Again ; Iran Struck Large Crude Tanker Overnight

8. SEP 29

   Strait Of Hormuz On Edge As Vessel Hit By Unknown Projectile, Fire Breaks Out

9. SEP 29

   Fire breaks out on vessel hit by projectile in Strait of Hormuz: UK maritime agency

10. SEP 29

    Vessel struck by unknown projectile in Strait of Hormuz, UKMTO says - وكالة الأنباء السورية

11. SEP 29

    Vessel struck by suspected projectile in Strait of Hormuz

    TEHRAN, Sep. 29 (MNA) – A vessel has been struck by a projectile while passing through the Strait of Hormuz, causing a fire, a maritime monitoring agency says.

12. SEP 29

    Vessel hit by suspected projectile in Strait of Hormuz

13. SEP 29

    UKMTO reports strike on vessel in Strait of Hormuz

14. SEP 29

    "Unknown Projectile" Hits Ship In Hormuz Strait, Sparks Fire On Board

15. SEP 29

    Vessel catches fire after projectile strike in Strait of Hormuz

16. SEP 29

    Oil flows through Strait of Hormuz rise on Saudi pivot as Red Sea traffic plunges

17. SEP 29

    Merchant vessel attacked in Strait of Hormuz, UKMTO says

18. SEP 29

    KOTC tanker struck in Strait of Hormuz

19. SEP 29

    Hormuz and Yemen: Iran offers de-escalation at a price others will pay

    Iran is using Hormuz to seek US concessions, relief for the Houthis and greater control over Gulf shipping.

20. SEP 29

    Strait of Hormuz Oil Flows Rebound to 9.36M bpd as Tankers Disable AIS - News and Statistics

21. SEP 29

    IRGC Spokesman Rejects US Claim: Strait of Hormuz Remains Closed - Iranian media

22. SEP 29

    Ship-to-Ship Relays Are Moving Cargo Across the Strait of Hormuz in Two Stages

    One Tanker Met Fifteen Counterparts in Ninety Days Between May 27 and August 27, 2026, Windward tracked a Barbados-flagged product tanker of roughly 40,000 deadweight tonnes across two anchorage clusters at opposite ends of the Strait of Hormuz. Inside the Gulf, it worked the Ba…

23. SEP 29

    Tanker stealth transits lift Hormuz oil flow to 60% and steady prices

    As Iran's blockade of the Strait of Hormuz continues, more tankers are crossing the strait with their automatic identification system (AIS) turned off, helping crude supplies recover and international oil prices remain relatively stable. According to European commodities analyti…

24. SEP 29

    Another ship hit in the Strait of Hormuz

Methodology

Oil prices: intraday Brent/WTI futures via Yahoo Finance, EIA daily closes as backstop. Vessel positions: Persian Gulf bbox (22–28°N, 54–60°E), 15-minute polling. Transit/stranded counts: AIS navigation status aggregated hourly, falling back to a five-port in-port census when AIS is down. War-risk insurance: straits.live estimate from carrier advisories and trade press. Carrier postures: curated from carrier customer advisories and trade press (Reuters, Lloyd’s List, gCaptain). Sanctioned vessels: OFAC SDN list × AIS by IMO and name. Events: news and maritime RSS feeds, the PGSA incident feed, curated trade-press citations and GDELT. Full method notes at straits.live/methodology.