Strait of Hormuz Live Tracker & Monitor, updated 13 JUN 2026 · 0043Z
Closed.
to commercial shipping · by carrier posture
Carriers are still rerouting via the Cape of Good Hope, but commercial convoys are moving through the Strait of Hormuz under naval escort, though the latest official PortWatch count is from June 7, even as Tehran announces a conditional reopening (U.S., Iran Near Deal to Reopen Strait of Hormuz After Months of War) with 24 sanctioned tankers among current transits; with crisis pressure at 94 (extreme) and the Escalation Forecast at 68 (high).
Auto-composed from the live figures · not hand-written
Contestedconvoys under escort · ~364 Gulf arrivals/24h · 2 via PortWatch (June 7)
vs pre-crisis ~$72 +20.4%
Futures continuous · ~15 min delay
Hormuz Indexv0.4.0
How this is computed →On JUN 7, IMF PortWatch's most recent published day, commercial transit through the Strait reached 2% of pre-crisis volume: 2 vessels against a typical 94 per day. War-risk insurance for tankers now prices at 8.0× pre-crisis, with 6 P&I clubs withdrawing cover. Brent has moved -2.20% in the past twenty-four hours.
Commercial transits
JUN 7 · vs typical 94/day
2
−92 vs pre-crisis
Throughput
% of pre-crisis typical
2%
−98pp vs pre-crisis
War-risk insurance
VLCC ≈ $2.5M
8.0×est.
+700% vs pre-crisis
PortWatch counts AIS-broadcasting crossings only. With 12 tankers currently running dark, true flow may run higher than the figure above.
- 01
The U.S. and Iran are near a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, with both sides reported to have agreed on a text, per gCaptain.
- 02
Crisis Pressure holds at 94 (extreme) while Brent fell 1.98% to $86.71, with physical transit deviation remaining the dominant pressure driver.
- 03
PortWatch recorded only 2 transits on 2026-06-07, against a pre-crisis baseline of 94 per day, as Iranian state media insists no vessel may pass without Tehran's authorization.
Situation
The Strait of Hormuz sits at a potential inflection point: U.S. and Iranian officials have signaled, per gCaptain, that a deal to end months of war and reopen the waterway could be signed within days, with both sides described as having agreed on a text. That diplomatic signal has not yet translated into measurable throughput. PortWatch's most recent published day, 2026-06-07, recorded just 2 transits through the strait against a pre-crisis baseline of 94 per day, a figure that reflects the waterway's near-paralysis even as scraper-derived 24h arrivals at Gulf ports reached 364 vessels, a separate count using different methodology that captures broader regional port activity rather than strait passage specifically. Vessels anchored or stopped number 451, consistent with continued operational hesitation across the region. The Hormuz Index Crisis Pressure composite sits at 94 (extreme), unchanged over 24 hours, with physical transit deviation as its top contributor; the 30-day Escalation Forecast stands at 68 (high), with Kalshi forward contracts as the leading driver, a divergence that suggests markets are beginning to price in resolution even as present conditions remain severely disrupted. Brent fell 1.98% to $86.71 in the past 24 hours, reflecting cautious optimism. Iranian state media simultaneously claims full armed-forces control of both shores and has confirmed at least one vessel was barred from transit without authorization, a posture that shipowners, per gCaptain, are watching carefully ahead of any reopening.
AI-assisted · refreshed daily at 12:00 UTC · more often in crisisAll briefs →
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I.
At sea.
Live vessel mix, dark tankers, the carriers who have suspended Hormuz transits, and a seven-day reading of stranded-vessel pressure.
Transits by type.
Vessel mixCurrently transiting vessels grouped by AIS type. The headline transit count above conflates traffic that energy desks read differently: a Capesize bulker and a VLCC are not the same signal. 74 vessels are currently in transit, broken down here.
Tankers
Crude, products, LNG and chemical carriers (AIS ship_type 80–89).
6
01h00hCargo
Container, bulk and general cargo (AIS ship_type 70–79).
23
01h00hOther
Passenger, fishing, tugs and unclassified traffic.
45
01h00hMilitary
Naval and law-enforcement vessels (AIS ship_type 35 / 55).
0
01h00h
Sample mix · by port
Bandar Abbas
32 sample
Tankers3Cargo21Military3Other5Jebel Ali
33 sample
Tankers10Cargo12Military0Other11Khor Fakkan
40 sample
Tankers18Cargo16Military0Other6Fujairah
40 sample
Tankers14Cargo18Military0Other8Sohar
40 sample
Tankers15Cargo18Military0Other7
| Port | Tankers | Cargo | Military | Other | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bandar Abbas | 3 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 32 |
| Jebel Ali | 10 | 12 | 0 | 11 | 33 |
| Khor Fakkan | 18 | 16 | 0 | 6 | 40 |
| Fujairah | 14 | 18 | 0 | 8 | 40 |
| Sohar | 15 | 18 | 0 | 7 | 40 |
Recent arrivals + departures sampled at each port. Used to estimate the type mix transiting the Strait of Hormuz.
Tankers gone dark.
Dark-tanker count12
tankers · last 24h± vs 7d baseline 11.5
Tankers that were broadcasting actively on inside the strait core area and have stopped transmitting for between 3 and 24 hours. Tracked over 2,840 vessels in the bbox.
Baseline averages the count over the last 168 hourly samples.
Vessel list (JSON) →Match methodology →
AIS-derived · 4m agoSurface effects
Container carriers.
CarriersThe nine largest container carriers by global TEU capacity, with their declared posture for Strait of Hormuz transit and the surcharge applied to twenty-foot equivalent units rerouted via the Cape. The surcharge and stranded-vessel figures are indicative editorial estimates, not contracted rates or confirmed tallies; each row links to the carrier’s own advisory.Posture key: Rerouting means Hormuz calls dropped but cargo still moving, via the Cape or escorted convoys; Suspended means no transits and no reroute announced. A carrier’s own advisory may say “suspended” about its Hormuz calls while we class the line as rerouting because its cargo still sails.
Suspended
0
Rerouting
8
Stranded
41
204K TEU
- 01
MSC
Mediterranean Shipping Company is routing all Asia–Europe vessels via the Cape of Good Hope; Gulf calls limited to escorted convoys.
MSC · Newsroom →Rerouting$1.2k/TEUsince MAR 415 stranded109K TEU - 02
Maersk
A.P. Moller–Maersk has suspended new Strait of Hormuz transits and is rerouting Gulf-bound cargo via Jebel Ali transhipment with Cape diversions for Asia–Europe.
Maersk · Customer advisories →Rerouting$1.0k/TEUsince MAR 214 stranded70K TEU - 03
CMA CGM
CMA CGM has activated Cape of Good Hope routing for all Asia–Europe services; spot rates up roughly 60% on affected lanes.
CMA CGM · News →Rerouting$950/TEUsince MAR 51 stranded - 04
COSCO
COSCO Shipping continues selective Gulf transits under convoy escort but has suspended bookings to Bandar Abbas; Cape rerouting in effect for Europe-bound.
COSCO Shipping Lines · Notices →Limited$600/TEUsince MAR 155 stranded - 05
Hapag-Lloyd
Hapag-Lloyd has suspended Hormuz transits and is rerouting via the Cape; surcharges layered on top of existing Red Sea contingency adders.
Hapag-Lloyd · Customer information →Rerouting$1.1k/TEUsince MAR 36 stranded25K TEU - 06
ONE
Ocean Network Express is routing Asia–Europe via the Cape; Gulf service suspended pending convoy availability.
ONE · News →Rerouting$900/TEUsince MAR 6 - 07
Evergreen
Evergreen Marine is diverting Asia–Europe loops via the Cape and has paused new Gulf bookings.
Evergreen Marine · News →Rerouting$850/TEUsince MAR 8 - 08
HMM
HMM has implemented Cape rerouting for Asia–Europe and is operating limited Gulf service through alliance partners.
HMM · Notices →Rerouting$800/TEUsince MAR 9 - 09
Yang Ming
Yang Ming Marine Transport has shifted Asia–Europe services to the Cape route in coordination with THE Alliance partners.
Yang Ming · Customer notices →Rerouting$750/TEUsince MAR 12
AIS pulse.
AIS pulseStranded vessels · 7d
456
anchored + stopped7d range 182–463▲ 173 vs 7d ago
Per-port pressure across 4 bypass ports (counts, tanker mix, congestion scores) at the ports page →
Per-port pressure across Gulf and bypass ports is at the ports page; sanctioned-tanker cross-referencing at the sanctioned-vessels page; pipeline bypass capacity at the pipelines page; LNG cargo exposure and the country-level demand at risk at the LNG-supply page; the Cape of Good Hope reroute mix at the reroute page; and peer-chokepoint comparison at the chokepoints page.
II.
Markets.
Prediction-market odds on duration and probability of a wider regional war, and Iran's open-market currency under pressure.
What the market expects.
Prediction marketsImplied probabilities from Kalshi and Polymarket: public, dollar-weighted markets where traders price contracts on Hormuz, Iran, and broader Middle East outcomes. Forward-looking where the rest of the page is backward-looking.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket$36.7M volcloses 31 Dec 2026
18%
market price
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Polymarket$34.4M volcloses 15 Jun 2026
18%
market price
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Polymarket$11.4M volcloses 31 Dec 2026
5%
market price
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Polymarket$10.4M volcloses 31 Dec 2026
80%
market price
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Polymarket$8.8M volcloses 30 Jun 2026
3%
market price
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Polymarket$8.4M volcloses 30 Jun 2026
45%
market price
Currency pressure
Tehran open-market rate.
Iranian rial801,000
Toman per USD · Tehran open market
24h +0.00%7d +6.52%
The black-market USD rate Tehran’s trading houses quote when transacting. The Central Bank’s posted rate (42,000 Toman) has been frozen for years and is no longer a market price; the figure above is the rate Iranians actually pay.
Watch this number when headlines break. The rial tends to move ahead of Brent on Iran escalation: capital flight into hard currency is faster than the oil futures re-pricing the same risk.
Downstream trade-diversion impact (share of world oil and LNG rerouted, average extra voyage days, and the countries most exposed) at the Cape reroute page. War-risk insurance dynamics, how the JWC listing translates into premium multiples and lay-up clauses, at the war-risk insurance page; and how a Brent spike propagates to retail gasoline, diesel, and container freight at the oil-price impact page.
III.
Events.
The indexed chronology of strikes, maritime incidents, formal closures, and diplomatic activity that defines this crisis.
Recent events.
Chronology- 01
Military
Trump blames Iran for attack on Indian ships , calls it unacceptable
Source: theshillongtimes.com
- 02
Maritime
Shadow Fleet Tanker Captain Pleads Guilty After Weeks-Long Atlantic Chase by U.S. Coast Guard
The former master of a tanker linked to Iran and Venezuela's shadow oil trade has pleaded guilty in U.S. federal court after leading the U.S. Coast Guard on a weeks-long...
- 03
Closure
U.S., Iran Near Deal to Reopen Strait of Hormuz After Months of War
The United States and Iran signaled on Friday that an agreement to end their war was close, with a senior U.S. administration official saying both sides had agreed on a text and that Washington expects to sign an initial deal in the coming days.
- 04
Maritime
Shipowners Owners Brace for Hormuz Reopening as Peace Deal Nears
Shipowners are watching warily for a peace deal between the US and Iran and what it would mean for the Strait of Hormuz, with some tanker owners expressing caution, while others were already predicting a frantic free-for-all if the waterway opens in earnest.
- 05
Maritime
Lost Gulf Oil Exports Far Smaller Than Thought, Traders and Shippers Say
Since the start of the Iran war and Tehran's announcement that the Strait of Hormuz was "closed," the market has grappled to put a figure on lost crude supply and to predict the price of oil.
- 06
Maritime
US Ships Escort Oil Tankers Through Hormuz at Night, Burgum Says
(Bloomberg) — U.S. forces are helping move millions of barrels through the Strait of Hormuz under the cover of darkness, sometimes escorting more than 20 ships per night out of...
- 07
Maritime
ABS and HD Hyundai Partner on U.S.-Flagged Tanker Design as Shipbuilding Ties Deepen
ABS and South Korea's HD Hyundai Heavy Industries (HD HHI) have launched a joint development project aimed at supporting the design of a U.S.-flagged 50,000 deadweight ton oil and chemical...
- 08
Maritime
No vessel able to enter Hormuz Strait without Iran’s permit
TEHRAN, Jun. 12 (MNA) – The deputy chief of Iran's Army for Coordination has stressed both sides of the Strait of Hormuz are firmly under the control of Iran’s Armed Forces, saying no vessel can enter strategic waterway without Iran’s authorization.
Active negotiation tracks, mediators, and back-channel work at the peace-talks page.
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