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Gas prices

What the strait costs at the pump.

US regular-grade gasoline averages, refreshed hourly. Pump prices typically lag Brent crude moves by one to two weeks: long enough to see the move forming, short enough that a sustained Hormuz disruption shows up at consumers before any national policy response.

National average · live

$3.88

regular grade · /gallon · 50 states + DC

Source: AAA state gas price averages

Brent today

$73.34/bbl

Based on recent pass-through behavior, every $10 move in Brent translates to roughly $0.24 per gallon at the US pump over one to two weeks. The pass-through is asymmetric: increases tend to arrive faster than decreases, a phenomenon refiners and retailers know as "rockets and feathers."

Highest five states

  • Hawaii$5.47$-0.07 7d
  • California$5.43$-0.13 7d
  • Washington$5.16$-0.16 7d
  • Alaska$4.83$-0.15 7d
  • Oregon$4.68$-0.15 7d

Lowest five states

  • Indiana$3.18$-0.14 7d
  • Texas$3.30$-0.09 7d
  • Oklahoma$3.38$-0.05 7d
  • Tennessee$3.42$-0.07 7d
  • Kentucky$3.44$-0.11 7d

How a Hormuz closure reaches the pump

Three steps, two to four weeks.

01

Crude shock at the global benchmark.

Brent is the world price. Historical precedent suggests a credible Hormuz closure typically produces a 15–40% Brent spike within the first week, regardless of the buyer's geography. Even the United States (functionally self-sufficient on crude) prices its products against Brent.

02

Refining and freight tighten.

Cape-route freight rates spike because tanker supply is fixed. Bunker fuel rises. Refining margins compress on Hormuz-specific grades. US Gulf Coast refiners configured for medium-sour crude switch to substitutes at operational cost.

03

Pump prices move.

Pass-through to retail gasoline lands within two to four weeks. The asymmetry (faster up than down) is well documented. SPR drawdowns can blunt the upside, but a sustained closure exceeds the SPR's daily release capacity within weeks.