Strait of Hormuz Live Tracker & Monitor, updated 10 NOV 2026 · 1332Z
Closed.
to commercial shipping · by transit count
The Strait of Hormuz is the narrow waterway between Iran and Oman that carries close to a fifth of the world’s oil. This page tracks, live, whether ships are getting through. New here? Start here →
Shipping in the Strait of Hormuz is under fresh attack, disrupting transit as Brent falls 4.6% in 24 hours, and the latest official PortWatch count is 1 vessel on November 1 at 1% of typical as the Petroline (East-West Pipeline) bypass runs at reduced capacity; crisis pressure at 87 (extreme).
Auto-composed from the live figures · not hand-written
DisruptedStrait under attack
The stakes
Pump figure modeled from live Brent · odds market-implied · not forecasts
vs pre-crisis ~$72 ~+25%
Front-month futures · ~15 min delay
Hormuz Indexv0.7.27
How this is computed →Our two 0–100 gauges: how disrupted the strait is right now, and how much escalation markets price in. Read the second as a direction of travel, not a forecast for any fixed day.
On NOV 1, IMF PortWatch's most recent published day, commercial transit through the Strait reached 1% of the pre-crisis vessel count: 1 vessel against a typical 85 per day. War-risk insurance for tankers priced at 32.0× pre-crisis as of 7 Oct, our last trade-press read, with 6 P&I clubs having cancelled war cover for charterers and other non-mutual liability in March 2026 (buy-back cover has been offered since). Brent has moved -4.59% in the past twenty-four hours.
Commercial transits
NOV 1 · vs typical 85/day
1
−84 vs pre-crisis
Throughput
% of pre-crisis typical
1%
−99pp vs pre-crisis
War-risk insurance
as of 7 Oct
The cost to insure one supertanker for the passage, vs peacetime.
32.0×est.
+3100% vs pre-crisis
PortWatch counts AIS-broadcasting crossings only. Tankers crossing with transponders off are not counted, and trade press reports such crossings, so true flow runs higher than the figure above.
- 01
Iranian state media claim two 'violating' oil tankers exploded and caught fire in the Strait of Hormuz, a claim no maritime authority has confirmed.
- 02
Brent stood at $90.86 as of 11:41 UTC, down 4.14% over 24 hours; IMF PortWatch recorded 1 vessel transiting on November 1 against a pre-crisis baseline of 85 per day.
- 03
Secretary of State Rubio, per AOL.com, has described Iran's reopening demands as outrageous, while Yemen Online reports Iran proposed reopening the strait within two days if its conditions are met.
Situation
Commercial traffic through the Strait of Hormuz remains near standstill: IMF PortWatch recorded 1 vessel transiting on November 1, against a pre-crisis baseline of 85 per day. Brent stood at $90.86 as of 11:41 UTC, down 4.14% over 24 hours. The IRGC Navy, per Iranian state media, claims two oil tankers moving on what it called an unauthorized route were brought to a halt by explosions and left burning; no maritime authority has confirmed the claim. Separately, Iranian state media report footage showing the destruction of what Tehran describes as US navigation systems on rocky outcrops in the southern strait, framing them as aids to oil smuggling; that claim is also unconfirmed by any independent source. Nation Thailand reports that President Trump held off further Iran strikes while maintaining the blockade. On the diplomatic track, Yemen Online reports Iran has proposed reopening the strait within two days if its conditions are met, and Korea JoongAng Daily reports Iran has urged South Korea to keep its navy out of reopening efforts. Secretary of State Rubio, per AOL.com, called Iran's demands outrageous. The feed indexed 30 headlines in the past 24 hours; several rows typically cover the same story. As of 12:00 UTC, 50 AIS-visible vessels were holding position away from berth in the Strait of Hormuz and Gulf watch box, a count that leaves out ships within 25km of a working port. On the Hormuz Index, Crisis Pressure, the state composite, sits in the extreme band, flat over 24 hours, with its value set by physical transit deviation alone; the Escalation Forecast sits in the elevated band, flat over 24 hours, with the Brent-WTI forward spread as its top contributor.
AI-assisted · refreshed daily at 12:00 UTC · more often in crisisAll briefs →
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I.
At sea.
Live vessel mix, dark tankers, the carriers who have suspended Hormuz transits, and a rolling reading of stranded-vessel pressure.
Vessels moving in the Gulf, by type.
Vessel mixVessels grouped by type. A Capesize bulker and a VLCC are not the same signal for an energy desk. 135 vessels anywhere in the Gulf tracking box moved between two position reports in the past hour; none of them is inside the strait window itself. A first sighting, or a fix over an hour old, counts as neither moving nor holding, so this isn't a ceiling.
Tankers
Crude, products, LNG and chemical carriers.
5
3 Nov 14h10 Nov 13hCargo
Container, bulk, vehicle and general cargo.
26
3 Nov 14h10 Nov 13hOther
Passenger, fishing, tugs and unclassified traffic.
104
3 Nov 14h10 Nov 13hMilitary
Naval, coast-guard and law-enforcement vessels. A floor, not a census: warships routinely transit with AIS switched off.
0
3 Nov 14h10 Nov 13h
Tankers gone dark.
Dark-tanker count77
tankers · last 24hof 158 screened± vs 7d baseline 79.9
Tankers that were broadcasting actively on inside the strait core area and have stopped transmitting for between 3 and 24 hours. The screen is tankers only, with 50 or more sightings, last positioned inside the core area: a narrower population than the 9,437 vessels of every type ever recorded in the wider bbox since monitoring began.
That is 77 of 158 tankers that met the screen. Non-tankers that met the same screen went dark at 31.1% on the identical test. The tanker rate (48.7%) is running 1.6x the whole-box ambient rate (31.1%), but within the same waters, compared cell by cell, 77 tankers went dark against about 80 expected at the ambient rate there, so the excess is not distinguishable from ambient dropout. Read the count as a floor on hulls we stopped receiving, not a verified evasion tally.
Baseline averages the count over the last 168 hourly samples.
Dark-fleet identities (API) → Match methodology →
AIS-derived · 3m agoSurface effects
Container carriers.
CarriersThe nine largest container carriers by global TEU capacity, with their declared posture for Strait of Hormuz transit and any dollar figure a carrier notice states, per container or per TEU as the carrier quotes it. The surcharge and stranded-vessel figures are indicative editorial estimates, not contracted rates or confirmed tallies; each row links to the carrier’s own advisory.Posture key: Rerouting means Hormuz calls dropped but cargo still moving, via the Cape or escorted convoys; Suspended means no transits and no reroute announced. A carrier’s own advisory may say “suspended” about its Hormuz calls while we class the line as rerouting because its cargo still sails.Read the Hormuz figure, not the posture counts, for whether the strait is being used. Most of these lines moved Asia–Europe services to the Cape of Good Hope, which is a Red Sea decision and says nothing about Hormuz. 5 of 9 advisories describe stopping Hormuz or Gulf service, 0 describe reduced or escorted service still running, and 4 make no claim about the strait either way. The verdict counts only advisories from the last 60 days: that’s 1 of the 5, not all 5.
Hormuz stopped
5
of 9 · 1 in the verdict · 0 limited · 4 unstated
Rerouting
8
0 suspended
Stranded
n/a
no carrier count from the last 60 days
- 01
MSC
Mediterranean Shipping Company routes Asia–Europe services via the Cape of Good Hope. Its March advisory suspended Middle East bookings and told ships in the area to shelter; it has published no vessel count since.
MSC · Customer advisory, March 2026, and Ship & Bunker, 2 March 2026 →Reroutingsince MAR 1 - 02
Maersk
Maersk has suspended bookings to Iraq, Kuwait, Qatar, Bahrain, Saudi Gulf ports, Jordan and most UAE ports. It discharges at Fujairah and Khor Fakkan, outside the strait, and moves cargo overland to Jebel Ali. Its Update 52 of 26 October 2026 says some cargo booked to Khor Fakkan now goes to Jebel Ali by direct discharge where the feeder can transit the Strait of Hormuz, and it charges USD 1,000 a container on any vessel that transits the strait, on top of an Emergency Freight rate. Update 52 sets that rate at USD 1,800 per 20-foot dry container, USD 3,000 per 40-foot dry container and USD 3,800 per reefer, special or dangerous-goods container, on cargo loading from or bound for Iraq, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia (Dammam and Jubail), Bahrain, Qatar, the UAE and Oman (except Salalah). The surcharge figure shown is the USD 1,000 per-container transit fee, not the Emergency Freight rate. It said on 25 June that three of its vessels remained in the Gulf.
Maersk · Middle East Operational Update 52 →Rerouting$1.0k/containersince MAR 2 - 03
CMA CGM
CMA CGM has activated Cape of Good Hope routing for all Asia–Europe services. Its chief financial officer said on the second-quarter earnings call on 30 July that eight of its vessels were inside the Gulf and unable to exit through the strait.
CMA CGM Q2 earnings call, via WorldCargo News →Reroutingsince MAR 58 stranded as of JUL 30 - 04
COSCO
COSCO Shipping suspended all new Middle East bookings on 4 March, then resumed Far East bookings by landbridge on 25 March. Two of its container ships crossed the strait in late March through the Larak Island corridor; it has not published a Gulf posture or vessel count since.
WorldCargo News, Datamar News (4 March 2026), Container News (27 March 2026) →Limitedsince MAR 4 - 05
Hapag-Lloyd
Hapag-Lloyd has suspended Hormuz transits and reroutes via the Cape. On 4 May 2026 it reopened Upper Gulf bookings via Sharjah feeders. By 1 July it had moved all four of its vessels out of the Gulf.
WorldCargo News, Container News (4 May 2026) →Reroutingsince MAR 30 stranded as of JUL 1 - 06
ONE
Ocean Network Express suspended new bookings to and from the Persian Gulf on 2 March 2026, citing safety for crew, vessels and cargo. No advisory newer than that has been found.
ONE · Temporary Suspension of Bookings to and from the Persian Gulf, 2 March 2026 →Reroutingsince MAR 2 - 07
Evergreen
Evergreen Marine suspended new bookings to Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, the UAE, Saudi Arabia (except Jeddah) and Iraq's Umm Qasr port on 5 March 2026, citing crew and vessel safety. No advisory newer than that has been found.
Container News, 5 March 2026, citing Evergreen Marine advisory →Reroutingsince MAR 5 - 08
HMM
HMM declared a service deviation for cargo linked to the Arabian Gulf, Red Sea and Horn of Africa on 11 March 2026 and said it would invoke its bill of lading rights over affected shipments. The Container News report cites a deviation recovery cost of USD 1,000 per container. No advisory newer than that has been found.
Container News, 11 March 2026, citing HMM advisory →Reroutingsince MAR 11 - 09
Yang Ming
Yang Ming's revision of its GS2 service was reported on 26 March 2026. Its advisory of 20 April covers Khor Fakkan and Sohar, with normal routing to resume once conditions allow. No advisory newer than that has been found.
Container News, 20 April 2026, citing Yang Ming advisory, and 26 March 2026 →Reroutingsince MAR 26
AIS pulse.
AIS pulseHolding offshore · 7d
48
at anchor away from port, many off Dubai▲ 15 vs 6d ago, same hour
Per-port pressure across 4 Gulf and bypass ports (counts, tanker mix, congestion scores) at the ports page → AIS coverage is lost at Bandar Abbas, Sohar right now, so no count is published there.
Per-port pressure across Gulf and bypass ports is at the ports page; sanctioned-vessel cross-referencing at the sanctioned-vessels page; pipeline bypass capacity at the pipelines page; LNG cargo exposure and the country-level demand at risk at the LNG-supply page; the Cape of Good Hope reroute, explained, at the reroute page; and peer-chokepoint comparison at the chokepoints page.
II.
Markets.
Prediction-market odds on duration and probability of a wider regional war, and Iran's open-market currency under pressure.
What the market expects.
Prediction marketsImplied probabilities from Kalshi and Polymarket: public, dollar-weighted markets where traders price contracts on Hormuz, Iran, and broader Middle East outcomes. Forward-looking where the rest of the page is backward-looking.
Reopening
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Polymarket$17.6M volcloses 31 Dec 2026
9%
market price
Reopening
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Polymarket$1.9M volcloses 30 Nov 2026
3%
market price
Reopening
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before July 1, 2027? (Before Jul 1, 2027)Kalshi1.7M contractscloses 1 Jul 2027
39%
market price
Reopening
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before January 1, 2027? (Before Jan 1, 2027)Kalshi3.9M contractscloses 5 Jan 2027
8%
market price
Reopening
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before April 1, 2027? (Before Apr 1, 2027)Kalshi879K contractscloses 1 Apr 2027
25%
market price
Reopening
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before January 1, 2028? (Before Jan 1, 2028)Kalshi93K contractscloses 1 Jan 2028
56%
market price
Currency pressure
Tehran open-market rate.
Iranian toman261,975
Toman per USD · Tehran open-market mid
Buy 260,650Sell 263,300
24h -0.55%7d -3.87%
The black-market USD rate Tehran’s trading houses quote when transacting. The government’s official rate is an administratively set, subsidized rate that sits far below what the open market charges and is not a price most Iranians can actually buy dollars at; the figure above is the rate they pay.
Watch this number when headlines break. It’s a stress gauge for Iran’s economy: when people rush into hard currency, the rial price of a dollar climbs.
Downstream trade-diversion impact (the extra voyage time, the fleet-capacity squeeze, and the countries most exposed to a prolonged reroute) at the Cape reroute page. War-risk insurance dynamics, how the JWC listing translates into premium multiples and lay-up clauses, at the war-risk insurance page; and how a Brent spike propagates to retail gasoline, diesel, and container freight at the oil-price impact page.
III.
Events.
The indexed chronology of strikes, maritime incidents, formal closures, and diplomatic activity that defines this crisis.
Recent events.
Chronology- 01
Maritime
Two more offending tankers explode in Strait of Hormuz
Tehran, IRNA – The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) Navy announced on Tuesday that two more offending oil tankers have exploded in an unauthorized route south of the Strait of Hormuz and have been left burning.
- 02
Maritime
Iran Navy Says Tanker Disabled After Fire East of Strait of Hormuz
- 03
Maritime
IRGC Says 3 Tankers Hit in Hormuz, Claims 11 Ships in 10 Days
IRGC Says 3 Tankers Hit in Hormuz, Claims 11 Ships in 10 Days https://houseofsaud.com/
- 04
Diplomatic
Iran defends demands in U.S. talks, sets conditions for restoring Strait of Hormuz security
- 05
Military
VIDEO: Destruction of US navigation sys. in southern Hormuz
TEHRAN, Nov. 10 (MNA) – Footage captures the destruction of the US navigation systems positioned on rocky outcrops in the southern Strait of Hormuz. The systems facilitated oil smuggling through the strategic waterway before being destroyed.
- 06
Military
Iran: US strikes ship after Hormuz blockade breach
The United States struck a commercial ship attempting to breach its naval blockade on Iran, the US military said. According to the US Central Command (CENTCOM), the cargo vessel "tried to depart regional waters after visiting an Iranian port," before its stern was struck by "pre…
- 07
Diplomatic
Iran urges Korea to keep its Navy out of efforts to reopen Hormuz
- 08
Maritime
Iran Expands Its Use of Fraudulent Ship Registries to Evade Sanctions
Nearly 300 Iranian-Linked Ships Sail Under Fraudulent Flags Nearly 300 Iranian-linked ships have been tracked using fraudulent ship registries over the past 90 days to evade sanctions, an accelerating issue that triggered an OFAC alert alongside sanctions imposed on key enablers…
Active negotiation tracks, mediators, and back-channel work at the peace-talks page.
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