13 September 2026.

Situation

The Strait of Hormuz remains under acute operational stress. Reuters reports a new attack on shipping in the strait, fanning fears over oil supply security; that report has not been independently confirmed in this feed. Separately, News18, Yahoo, breakingthenews.net, and The Times of Israel report that a vessel was struck by an unknown projectile while transiting, with no major wire in this feed carrying that claim. IMF PortWatch data, the most recently published weekly reading, recorded 6 transits on 2026-09-06, against a pre-crisis baseline of 85 per day. As of 02:56 UTC, 477 vessels were holding position away from berth. Brent stood at $104.61, down 3.98% over 24 hours, as of 02:56 UTC; futures markets are closed and that figure is a carried-forward pre-close delta. The Crisis Pressure index sits in the extreme band, flat over the past 24 hours, with physical transit deviation as its top contributor. The Escalation Forecast index sits in the elevated band and has been easing, driven by the Brent-WTI forward spread; the two indices therefore diverge on direction. On the diplomatic track, Reuters carries Iran's expectation that no deal with Oman will emerge from the Muscat meeting, while Palestine Chronicle, AzerNews, and Caspian Post report that Iran has announced a planned signing of a Hormuz navigation agreement. Yahoo, Dunyanews.tv, and Ukrainski Natsionalni Novyny report that Saudi Arabia shut a key pipeline used to bypass the strait following a drone attack, no major wire in this feed carries that claim independently.