13 September 2026.

Situation

The Strait of Hormuz remains under acute operational pressure, with physical transit deviation the top driver of a Crisis Pressure index sitting in the extreme band. The Escalation Forecast index sits in the elevated band, with the Brent-WTI forward spread its lead contributor, a divergence from the state reading that signals markets are pricing in sustained disruption beyond the present moment. IMF PortWatch recorded 6 transits on 2026-09-06, its most recent published day, against a pre-crisis baseline of 85 per day; 366 vessels were holding position away from berth as of 23:56 UTC. On the diplomatic front, CBC, AP News, Anadolu Ajansı, and CNN report that Iran-Gulf talks scheduled in Oman have been postponed, with no new date announced. CNN specifies the postponement came via an Omani official and that the talks concerned reopening the strait without US participation. The postponement compounds a day already marked by kinetic incidents: gCaptain and Reuters report a vessel was attacked in the strait, and CNN reports a vessel was struck by an unidentified munition per UKMTO. CNN and AP News separately report one crew member was killed in a strike on an Iranian cargo ship near the strait. Reuters reports Saudi Arabia has shut down a critical pipeline that bypasses the strait following escalating attacks from Iran-allied militant groups, and Reuters further reports oil prices jumped more than $3 following new strikes on Saudi Arabia and the strait. Brent stood at $107.77, up +3.02% over 24 hours, as of 23:56 UTC.

Recorded