29 September 2026.

Situation

The Strait of Hormuz remains a live combat zone. The Maritime Executive and Lloyd's List report a Kuwaiti tanker was struck in the strait. Separately, Anadolu Ajansı reports the UK maritime agency says a vessel was hit by a projectile and caught fire in the strait, a claim The Maritime Executive and Lloyd's List also carry. Per gCaptain, the maritime picture in the strait is becoming harder to verify, with ship attacks going unreported for days before details emerge. India's Ministry of morungexpress.com says 163 Indian seafarers aboard 12 commercial vessels are currently in the Persian Gulf, per morungexpress.com. On the supply-route front, Iraq has begun importing gasoline via Syria's Baniyas port as an alternative to Hormuz transit, per India Today. On the diplomatic track, US-Iran talks continue after the US rejected Iran's latest proposal to reopen the strait, per ABC10; Caliber.Az reports Iran is awaiting a US response on its conditions. IMF PortWatch recorded 1 transit on 2026-09-27, against a pre-crisis baseline of 85 per day. Brent stood at $102.94, down 3.00%, as of 23:57 UTC. The site recorded 42 indexed events in the last 24 hours. As of 23:50 UTC, 244 AIS-visible vessels were holding position away from berth in the Strait of Hormuz and Gulf watch box, a count that leaves out ships within 25km of a working port. On the Hormuz Index, Crisis Pressure, the state composite, sits in the extreme band, with its value set by physical transit deviation alone; the Escalation Forecast sits in the elevated band, with the Brent-WTI forward spread as its top contributor.

Recorded